Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 96.184637 106.470571 117.054579 128.736014 141.243742 154.211675 168.649858
2024-12-22 79.643211 94.664181 110.894556 129.637687 150.586891 173.184482 199.304574
2024-12-29 71.754847 89.675792 109.706837 133.555112 160.970330 191.300070 227.186495
2025-01-05 64.505491 84.286009 107.061510 134.894813 167.655267 204.661925 249.286260
2025-01-12 58.348459 79.420814 104.345723 135.521770 172.981632 216.062796 268.854632
2025-01-19 51.400644 72.914280 99.055036 132.505883 173.507686 221.474529 281.149384
2025-01-26 48.851479 71.629355 99.902904 136.732078 182.571586 236.898173 305.258239
2025-02-02 45.978410 69.651630 99.655124 139.412770 189.623645 249.862425 326.471087
2025-02-09 42.754677 66.940771 98.241199 140.425609 194.465387 260.068688 344.354157
2025-02-16 41.246905 66.409425 99.549394 144.844154 203.549979 275.505873 368.716253
2025-02-23 38.911143 64.550150 98.952070 146.669015 209.269148 286.761952 387.993340
2025-03-02 35.410962 60.795953 95.586359 144.647050 209.884121 291.527488 399.168006
2025-03-09 32.673936 58.021465 93.484065 144.293100 212.725847 299.252870 414.318407
2025-03-16 30.257343 55.561757 91.689719 144.256738 215.934364 307.456142 430.159945
2025-03-23 29.399877 55.399751 93.100651 148.599312 224.975120 323.208218 455.705700
2025-03-30 27.753756 53.891490 92.475924 150.035399 230.077703 333.872423 474.817805
2025-04-06 26.027462 52.130612 91.375749 150.714039 234.097955 343.111114 492.134356
2025-04-13 23.402943 48.714446 87.635957 147.454768 232.578603 344.954906 499.797505
2025-04-20 22.960712 48.898106 89.313515 152.021424 241.906364 361.231382 526.392528
2025-04-27 22.136606 48.371663 89.860729 154.916539 248.915424 374.466798 549.104922
2025-05-04 20.944568 47.123569 89.220443 156.010095 253.372606 384.295180 567.392082
2025-05-11 20.652640 47.444816 91.039564 160.778890 263.071012 401.266539 595.258736
2025-05-18 19.766369 46.634236 91.012711 162.747532 268.783176 412.872694 616.080039